CGCS Directory

Prof. Kerry A. Emanuel

Professor of Atmospheric Science



Research Interests:
Professor Emanuel's research group is investigating possible links between global climate and tropical cyclone activity, focusing on the possible role of tropical cyclones in driving oceanic heat fluxes. Other research activities include research on tropical cyclone genesis, environmental control of tropical cyclone intensity, the role of cumulus convection in regulating atmospheric water vapor and clouds, and the development of new techniques for assimilating nonlinear coherent structures into numerical models.

Selected Publications:  [View research papers]

Emanuel, K., 2015: Effect of upper-ocean evolution on projected trends in tropical cyclone activity. J. Clim.28, 8165-8170.

Reed, A. J., M E. Mann, K. A. Emanuel, N. Lin, B. P. Horton, A.C. Kemp, and J. P. Donnelly, 2015: Increased threat of tropical cyclones and coastal flooding to New York City during the anthropogenic era.  Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 112, 12610-12615.

Lin, N. and K. Emanuel, 2015: Grey swan tropical cyclonesNature Clim. Change, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2777. Supplementary information

Kowch, R. and K. Emanuel, 2015: Are special processes at work in the rapid intensification of tropical cyclones? Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 878-882.

Cronin, T. W., K. A. Emanuel, and P. Molnar, 2014: Island precipitation enhancement and the diurnal cycle in radiative-convective equilibriumQuart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.2443

Garman, D., K. Emanuel, and B. Phillips, 2014: Breaking the climate deadlockIssues in Science and Technology30, 75-82. 

Chavas, D. R., and K. A. Emanuel, 2014: Equilibrium tropical cyclone size in an idealized state of axisymmetric radiative–convective equilibriumJ. Atmos. Sci., 71, 1663-1680.

Emanuel, K., A. A. Wing, and E. M. Vincent, 2014: Radiative-Convective Instability. J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys., 6doi: 10.1002/2013MS000270. Copyright 2014, American Geophysical Union. Further reproduction or electronic distribution is not permitted.

Ravela, S., and K. Emanuel, 2013: Synthetic storm simulation for wind risk assessment. In StormSurge Barriers to Protect New York City: Against the Deluge. D. Hill, M. J. Bowman, and J. S. Khinda, editors. Amer. Soc. Civil Eng., pp. 15-37. 

Emanuel, K.A., 2013: Downscaling CMIP5 climate models shows increased tropical cyclone activity over the 21st century. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 110, doi/10.1073/pnas.1301293110. 

Emanuel, K., and A. Sobel, 2013: Response of tropical sea surface temperature, precipitation, and tropical cyclone-related variables to changes in global and local forcing. J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys.5, doi:10.1002/jame.20032. Copyright 2013, American Geophysical Union. Further reproduction or electronic distribution is not permitted.

Emanuel, K., 2011: Global warming effects on U.S. hurricane damageWea. Clim. Soc.3, 261-268.

Emanuel, K., 2008: The Hurricane-Climate Connection, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 89(5), ES10-ES20

Korty, R.L., K.A. Emanuel and J.R. Scott, 2008: Tropical Cyclone-Induced Upper-Ocean Mixing and Climate: Application to Equitable Climates, Journal of Climate, 21(4): 638-654

Emanuel, K., R. Sundararajan, and J. Williams, 2008: Hurricanes and global warming: Results from downscaling IPCC AR4 simulations, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 89(3): 347-367

Emanuel, K., 2007: What We Know About Climate Change, MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 96 p.

Emanuel, K., 2007: Environmental factors affecting tropical cyclone power dissipation, Journal of Climate, 20(22): 5497-5509

Emanuel, K., 2006: Hurricanes: Tempests in a greenhouse, Physics Today, 59: 74-75

Emanuel, K.A., 2005: Divine Wind: The history and science of hurricanes, Oxford University Press, New York, 304 pp.

Boos, W.R., J.R. Scott and K.A. Emanuel, 2004: Transient diapycnal mixing and the meridional overturning circulation, J. of Physical Oceanography, 34: 334-341

Emanuel, K., 2003: Tropical Cyclones, Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 31: 75-104

More Publications

Contact Information

t: 617-253-2462


B.S., Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, MIT, 1976
Ph.D., Meteorology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1978

Courses taught:
Global Warming Science (edX) 
Global Warming Science (12.340) [Undergrad]
Quasi-balanced Circulations in Oceans and Atmospheres (12.803) [Graduate]
Tropical Meteorology (12.811) [Graduate]
Climate Physics and Chemistry (12.842) [Graduate]
Atmospheric and Oceanic Modeling (12.950) [Graduate]