Probabilistic forecast for climate change over Northern Eurasia

Sokolov, A., E. Monier, D. Kicklighter, J. Scott, X. Gao and C.A. Schlosser
Conference Proceedings, European Geophysical Union General Assembly (Vienna, April 7–12) Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 15, EGU2013-3354, Report Nr. 0

In this study, we investigate possible climate change over Northern Eurasia and its impact on hydrological and carbon cycles. Northern Eurasia is a major player in the global carbon budget because of boreal forests and wetlands. Permafrost degradation associated with climate change could result in wetlands releasing large amounts of carbon dioxide and methane. Changes in the frequency and magnitude of extreme events, such as extreme precipitation, are likely to have substantial impacts on Northern Eurasia ecosystems. For this reason, it is very important to quantify the possible climate change over Northern Eurasia under different emissions scenarios, while accounting for the uncertainty in the climate response.